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Causation, Prediction, and Search - Peter Spirt...
0,33 € *
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What assumptions and methods allow us to turn observations into causal knowledge, and how can even incomplete causal knowledge be used in planning and prediction to influence and control our environment? In this book Peter Spirtes, Clark Glymour, and Richard Scheines address these questions using the formalism of Bayes networks, with results that have been applied in diverse areas of research in the social, behavioral, and physical sciences. The authors show that although experimental and observational study designs may not always permit the same inferences, they are subject to uniform principles. They axiomatize the connection between causal structure and probabilistic independence, explore several varieties of causal indistinguishability, formulate a theory of manipulation, and develop asymptotically reliable procedures for searching over equivalence classes of causal models, including models of categorical data and structural equation models with and without latent variables. The authors show that the relationship between causality and probability can also help to clarify such diverse topics in statistics as the comparative power of experimentation versus observation, Simpson's paradox, errors in regression models, retrospective versus prospective sampling, and variable selection. The second edition contains a new introduction and an extensive survey of advances and applications that have appeared since the first edition was published in 1993.

Anbieter: reBuy
Stand: 05.06.2020
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Devil May Cry HD Collection Steam Key GLOBAL
15,84 € *
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Devil May Cry is a series of hack and slash video games produced by Capcom, whose action is happening in the present. The story revolves around the main character, Dante, whose goal is to avenge the slain mother by exterminating demons. The franchise has achieved commercial success - several million copies of the first three were sold.In the first Devil May Cry, the task of the player who impersonates Dante is to defeat Mundus - the ruler of the underground world. In the second part of the series, the hero must face the businessman Arius, who plans to take over the world by resurrecting one of the demons. In this part of the protagonist can also count on help from the warrior Lucia, who is the second playable character. The Devil May Cry 3 action was set before the events presented in the first installment of the cycle; it is there that the player has the opportunity to learn more details about Dante's past and his conflict with his brother - Vergil.It should also be remembered that each of the first games in the series added new elements to the overall gameplay. DMC 1 introduced the rank and measurement of the fighting style. DMC 2 added the ability to create a combination of attacks in the air and immediately change weapons without looking into the inventory, while the third part allowed selecting the style of the game, giving players a chance to choose their favorite technique from four available: Royal Guard, Swordmaster, Gunslinger, and Trickster.GameplayAs it has already been mentioned before, Devil May Cry is a series of computer games of hack and slash type. In each of the three presented parts, the player takes on the role of Dante and must complete assigned missions, which mainly involve an exploration of diverse locations. In DMC 1 it is the Mallet Island, in DMC 2 the action takes place in the modern metropolis, while the area that the player travels in DMC 3 combines the best features of the location of both previous games.Wherever the player does not go, there will always be lesser enemies, such as various types of demons, as well as powerful bosses. Clashes take place in real-time. Dante confronts opponents using various weapons, and after charging a special indicator, he can turn into a demon himself, thus gaining even more power. Additionally, aside from continuous battles, the fun is varied by simple and uncomplicated puzzles consisting primarily of searching for items.During the game, the player's actions are all the time monitored by the scoring system, which gives him grades based on the items he used, the time of completing a particular stage, injuries and combat style. It is also worth mentioning that the struggles in DMC 3 are more attractive thanks to the possibility of selecting a style of fighting for individual preferences. The player can choose from such techniques as Swordmaster technique or for example Royal Guard.Devil May Cry HD collectionDMC HD Collection is the first three original titles of the series, for the first time presented in one high-resolution package. The authors, wanting to renew the series, refreshed the graphic design of the games so that on PC each element of the described compilation can be run in 4K mode. Thanks to this remaster, players can enjoy an amazing series of Devil May Cry, operating in sixty frames per second (60 fps).ReceptionEach of the three parts of the series, which includes Devil May Cry HD Collection, was rated very positively by the reviewers.The first, DMC 1, is considered a classic by most players. In their opinion, this game started a great series and, despite many years, many people still want to play in it. It's timeless and thanks to the good fighting system, it still makes happy.When it comes to DMC 2, players also saw many advantages. During the rating, they primarily pointed to the possibility of upgrading the weapon and the fact that there is a chance to play as Dante and Lucia.The third part of the series just like the previous ones, was rated very positively. In the reviews, players paid attention mainly to such elements as climate, interesting plot, six different styles of fighting, the introduction of six levels of difficulty, variety of weapons and an effective combat system.

Anbieter: G2A
Stand: 05.06.2020
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Alternative Kilns & Firing Techniques: Raku * S...
14,99 € *
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Ceramicists searching for new ways to fire their creations now have a wealth of options. Authors James Watkins and Paul Wandless, along with a group of distinguished artisans, demonstrate in detail how to build low-cost, low-tech, yet high-quality kilns. The plans range from an easy, affordable, and versatile Raku Kiln to a unique wood-fueled Downdraft Stovepipe Barrel one. These clever devices make it possible to produce rich surface effects from alternative reduction firing techniques. In addition to showing the basic procedures for using each kiln, easy-to-follow directions for many fast-fire methods unfold in color photographs: You'll see how to achieve terra sigillata surfaces with direct chemical application, and how to do traditional crackle-glaze raku and smoke finishes.

Anbieter: buecher
Stand: 05.06.2020
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Alternative Kilns & Firing Techniques: Raku * S...
14,99 € *
ggf. zzgl. Versand

Ceramicists searching for new ways to fire their creations now have a wealth of options. Authors James Watkins and Paul Wandless, along with a group of distinguished artisans, demonstrate in detail how to build low-cost, low-tech, yet high-quality kilns. The plans range from an easy, affordable, and versatile Raku Kiln to a unique wood-fueled Downdraft Stovepipe Barrel one. These clever devices make it possible to produce rich surface effects from alternative reduction firing techniques. In addition to showing the basic procedures for using each kiln, easy-to-follow directions for many fast-fire methods unfold in color photographs: You'll see how to achieve terra sigillata surfaces with direct chemical application, and how to do traditional crackle-glaze raku and smoke finishes.

Anbieter: buecher
Stand: 05.06.2020
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Exoplanets
163,99 € *
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This is the first collection of review articles in one volume covering the very latest developments in exoplanet research. This edited, multi-author volume will be an invaluable introduction and reference to all key aspects in the field this field. The reviews cover topics such as the properties of known exoplanets and searching for exoplanets in the stellar graveyard. The book provides an easily accessible point of reference in a fast moving and exciting field.This edited, multi-author volume will be an invaluable introduction and reference to all key aspects in the field of exoplanet research. The reviews cover: Detection methods and properties of known exoplanets, Detection of extrasolar planets by gravitational microlensing. The formation and evolution of terrestrial planets in protoplanetary and debris disks. The brown dwarf-exoplanet connection. Formation, migration mechanisms and properties of hot Jupiters. Dynamics of multiple exoplanet systems. Doppler exoplanet surveys. Searching for exoplanets in the stellar graveyard. Formation and habitability of extra solar planets in multiple star systems. Exoplanet habitats and the possibilities for life. Moons of exoplanets: habitats for life. Contributing authors: Rory Barnes David P. Bennett Jian Ge Nader Haghighipour Patrick Irwin Hugh Jones Victoria Meadows Stanimir Metchev I. Neill Reid George Rieke Caleb Scharf Steinn Sigurdsson

Anbieter: buecher
Stand: 05.06.2020
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Exoplanets
163,99 € *
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This is the first collection of review articles in one volume covering the very latest developments in exoplanet research. This edited, multi-author volume will be an invaluable introduction and reference to all key aspects in the field this field. The reviews cover topics such as the properties of known exoplanets and searching for exoplanets in the stellar graveyard. The book provides an easily accessible point of reference in a fast moving and exciting field.This edited, multi-author volume will be an invaluable introduction and reference to all key aspects in the field of exoplanet research. The reviews cover: Detection methods and properties of known exoplanets, Detection of extrasolar planets by gravitational microlensing. The formation and evolution of terrestrial planets in protoplanetary and debris disks. The brown dwarf-exoplanet connection. Formation, migration mechanisms and properties of hot Jupiters. Dynamics of multiple exoplanet systems. Doppler exoplanet surveys. Searching for exoplanets in the stellar graveyard. Formation and habitability of extra solar planets in multiple star systems. Exoplanet habitats and the possibilities for life. Moons of exoplanets: habitats for life. Contributing authors: Rory Barnes David P. Bennett Jian Ge Nader Haghighipour Patrick Irwin Hugh Jones Victoria Meadows Stanimir Metchev I. Neill Reid George Rieke Caleb Scharf Steinn Sigurdsson

Anbieter: buecher
Stand: 05.06.2020
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In Bed with Susie Bright 24: Motherhood & Sex, ...
9,95 € *
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This week's Media Whore segment might be better named The Media Madonna and Whore segment as Susie and her two guests, authors Anne Semans and Cathy Winks, talk about the conflict between being a mom and (still) being great in bed. Semans and Wink are the authors of The Mother's Guide to Sex. In this interview, they cover everything from how your body and sex changes during pregnancy to finding time for sex and talking to your kids about sex. Also, in this week's Front Page, Susie offers some advice for Southern Baptist Congregations searching for answers to skyrocketing divorce rates among their young couples And in her Try This at Home mailbag, Susie answers a man who wonders if his attraction to cartoon women is unusual. Don't forget - you can ask Susie your confidential questions about sex and sexuality by sending mail to susie@audible.com. For Adults Only: Explicit language. Must be 18 years of age to purchase. 1. Language: English. Narrator: Susie Bright. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/pf/suzy/010529/pf_suzy_010529_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 05.06.2020
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Tomorrow's Dream, Hörbuch, Digital, 1, 191min
9,95 € *
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Now that Kyle Adams' dream of finding her biological parents has come true and she is pregnant, Kyle begins to believe that her life is perfect. However, when a heart condition threatens her young son's life, Kyle's newfound happiness fades. Then her son dies, and she turns her back on God. It takes a great deal of soul searching before she is finally able to accept God back into her life. The authors deliver a quietly introspective novel about the true meaning of faith. Of special merit is the deep characterization of Kyle, a woman whose struggles with religious questions are achingly real. 1. Language: English. Narrator: Aimee Lilly. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/hove/001548/bk_hove_001548_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 05.06.2020
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Prayers of Hope, Peace, and Protection, Hörbuch...
9,95 € *
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Prayers of Hope, Peace, and Protection offers an audio recording of prayers from the Bible, great Saints, sacred texts, and prophets who used these prayers for hundreds of years to invoke and strengthen their faith and relationship with God. Prayers include: Family Prayer, Praying for Hope and Comfort, Prayer for Trust in Jesus, Searching for God, Salutation to Life, Psalm 111, Prayer of Gratitude, The Door of Love, Prayer for Peace, The Irish Blessing, Prayer for the Coming Year. Authors include: Robert Louis Stevenson, George Dawson, St. Ignatius of Loyola, St. Anselm, Mozarabic Christians, Kalidasa, Ralph Waldo Emerson, William Temple, Abraham Lincoln. Read in English, unabridged. 1. Language: English. Narrator: Josh Josh. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/mxbo/000255/bk_mxbo_000255_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 05.06.2020
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